??? 05/04/07 06:54 Modified: 05/04/07 17:32 Read: times |
#138598 - If you\'re a gambling man ... Responding to: ???'s previous message |
NOTE FROM WEBMASTER: This post was heavily edited to correct mis-use of the "quote" tag that was causing this post to blow the margins of the entire thread. I believe I have not materially changed the content of the post.
Craig Steiner said:
I have intellect, intelligence, self-awareness, and the ability to recognize right and wrong. I also have empathy for my fellow human beings that compels me to, given the choice, save a human rather than an antelope if given the choice. Wouldn't you rather save them both if you could? You can at least try, by being conscienscious in your consumption of resources. Craig Steiner said:
Already the impact of the reduction in honeybees has been substantially debunked since bees are far from the only way that plants are pollinated. Nor will Americans go extinct if we can't grow our own food for awhile. It's been reduced, as I mentioned before, by the fact thta flies and other insects participate in the process too, but debunked? ... well, we'll see ... You may be right. Richard Erlacher said:
... since it's likely that the event, whatever its extent, is being brought about by some short-sighted venture by some "consequences-don't matter" thinking on the part of one chemical company or another, it certainly promotes that fly on the wall in my thinking. Craig Steiner said:
Right. Because no other die-offs or complete extinctions have ever happened except at the hands of chemical companies. In fact, prehistoric man had to do battle with tyrannosaurus rex until some enterprising caveman came along and founded the Dow Chemical company that, in its quest to produce matches for easy fire-starting, accidentally came up with a poisonous by-product which, luckily, was useful at exterminaing the t-rex. A successful match wouldn't be achieved for thousands of years, but the founding caveman of Dow was able to buy a bigger cave with all the sales of his toxic t-rex posion. Lucky for us since camping in the Rocky Mountains would be a lot more adventurous if we had to be prepared to deal with some t-rex lurking around the next boulder. You can't seriously believe that it's the same thing. The entire environmental protection concept is centered on protecting the world, not from its own natural processes, but from the stupid, selfish, economically motivated, damage caused by man. The planet can remain in balance so long as man doesn't interfere. By runing sequestered carbon, by heating the planet with all his mechanisms and transmission lines, man is heating the planet disproportionally with the natural processes that allow the temperature to be regulated. In the meantime all the carbon-fuel consumption puts CO2 in the atmosphere, a extra few ppb of which will reduce the means for that human-generated heat to escape. Richard Erlacher said:
Unfortunately for some, and it probably won't impact the folks who have three such vehicles in their driveway, as they'll continue driving their 8-gpm Hummers until the price exceeds $25/gal, but that guy who drives that 10-year-old Blazer ... not becuase it's fashionable, but because he has to haul his kids around Craig Steiner said:
If he has so many kids that he needs a Blazer to haul them around, an increase in gas prices will not be a major increase in a major expense. An increase in the cost of health care will impact him far more than another buck or two a gallon on gas. How many kids does it take to warrant a need for 6-passenger car. The guy drives a Blazer because they're cheap, and nobody in his right mind would want one. He's poor. That's why he drives it. Now I only mentioned this because you said that your willingness to buy and, if you want, to waste whatever, won't harm any one. I disagree. I don't sympathize with the guy who buys a dirty, polluting vehicle just because he's unwilling to walk, bicycle, or take the bus. Richard Erlacher said:
It's the same way with grid-distributed electric power. I've gathered, from your prior comments, that you figure it's fine if suburbia has a power outage, so long as the bit energy-wasters downtown can keep the temperate in their buildings low in the summer and high in the winter. Craig Steiner said:
That's not the hypothetical situation you proposed before. If there's not enough energy generation capacity to meet demand, more power plants need to be built. If rolling blackouts are necessary as they were in California a few years ago, that's just reality. I'd say that, during the day, emphasis should be placed on providing power to commercial establishments since without those companies generating economic activity, people won't have money to pay for their electric bill at home anyway. During the evening, priority should be given to residential areas as more people are presumably at home. Perhaps, but power plants take decades to build, and often break down, when it's convenient for the energy companies. The CA "rolling blackouts" have been shown to have been caused by manipulation by companies trading in energy to raise the price, like Enron, and not at all by shortages. What's more, they seldom meet their design criteria and often cost way more than they were supposed to. That nuclear plant in Platteville cost Colorado Utilites and the taxpayers who were hornswoggled into subsidizing it, over two billion dollars back in the 70's. It's never sold one watt-hour of power and has been decommissioned if I'm not mistaken. Since power plants take decades to build, what will solve the problem within this life? Well, the only real candidate is economizing, and that begins with charging a higher rate for using more power. They charge ME a higher rate if I use more power. The lowest rates should go to the smallest users. Those office buildings should turn things off when they're not using 'em and they'd figure out where they can ecomomize if they had an incentive, like a rate penalty for excessive use or waste. They could also turn down the heat in the winter and raise the temperature in the summer. If it cost 'em 100x as much to waste 1%, they'd not waste it. Richard Erlacher said:
I suppose the folks who are too warm in the summer because there's no power for their swamp cooler, should go to a movie to cool off, and the ones who are too cold in the winter should hang out at the mall to keep from freezing. Craig Steiner said:
Or another power plant should be built. As far as I know, we haven't run out of power, though, so your hypothetical either/or scenario remains a cute hypothetical. That won't solve the problem this week! Economizing would. Richard Erlacher said:
It's true that I don't know how you live when in Mexico. It's also true, I'd guess, that it's not as well as here in the U.S. when you're here. Nonetheless, I'd also guess it's well above the median prosperity level in a country where well over 99.9% of the resources are held by well under 0.1% of the population, and where people unable to secure a reasonable living within the country are fleeing to the U.S. in order to "better themselves." Craig Steiner said:
While the income distribution in Mexico is bad, it's not nearly as bad as 99.9/0.1%. I wasn't referring to income distribution. I was referring to material wealth. I recently read that over 90% of all Mexican resources, land, money, etc, are owned by fewer than 100 individuals. Craig Steiner said:
As already demonstrated by another member, all that heat you're talking about in transmission is so absolutely miniscule when compared to the entire heat budget so as to be irrelevant. For that matter, so is human contribution to CO2. Hogwash! The "demonstration" simply showed that that individual had no concept of what matters. The planet isn't heated excessively by heat coming in from the sun. It's damaged by heat being generated by man and then being prevented from escaping by the increased CO2 in the atmosphere. Richard Erlacher said:
... yet they seldom mention that, during the development of the "mid-west" in the U.S, which was nearly entirely tree-covered in the 18th century, nearly all the forestation was destroyed. Craig Steiner said:
Please define "mid-west". I'm curious as to what parts of the plains of Kansas, Colorado, Nebraska and the deserts of Utah, Arizona, California, and Nevada you think were "nearly entirely tree-covered." It's as I said, from the eastern seaboard to the Mississippi river. The states to which you refer are the plains and western desert states not the mid-west. Richard Erlacher said:
As for my attitude, well, I assume the worst. Craig Steiner said:
No kidding. as I said, it allows me to avoid disappointment. Richard Erlacher said:
That way I'm seldom disappointed. Richard Erlacher said:
Yet you disappoint and depress others with your negativity. It's not negativity, it's realism. Craig Steiner said:
As I said before, we disagree because you assume that my behavior requires some reconciliation. That is derived from your attitude of "assuming the worst" about a theoretical change in climate. I don't assume, I operate on facts. In the climate debate, I see a lot of psuedo-science and people wanting me to make significant changes in my life based on their emotional response to something that, the IPCC's silly reports not withstanding, have not been established to a high scientific degree. There are a lot of theories out there and just about as many politicians and environmental lobbyists with an agenda influencing IPCC reports, but the reality is that we don't know entirely how the atmosphere/environment works, the significance of the sun (though if I were a gambling man, I'd put a significant bet on 'the sun is probably pretty important'), the full significance of clouds on albedo, nor do we have a complete understanding of all the carbon sinks and how they interact and feedback, and since the carbon sinks/feedbacks are still somewhat of a question mark we don't really know how important our own CO2 contribution is... and even if we make all these assumptions, we don't know that a warmer planet is necessarily a bad thing. It's just a different thing.
Even not being a gambling man, I'd be willing to bet a lot of money that whatever we do, climate will change. It will get warmer, it'll get cooler, but it won't remain the same. Thus any effort spent on trying to keep the climate from changing is an arrogant waste of money and effort. Of that there can be no doubt. However, the purpose of protecting the environment is to avoid impacting it with foolish and shortsighted activity or inaction that modifies that otherwise naturally occurring cycle. Don't you agree that it's safer to err on the side of caution? Oh ... I forgot ... you certainly wouldn't want to endure the inconvenience. You once said that the activites of man are also a naturally occurring phenomenon. It certainly is possible to see things in that light. Consider, then, that this world-wide discussion is also a naturally occurring phenomenon, as it will cause much contemplation, some rational thought, and, perhaps, the correct action. It won't happen today, but if it doesn't happen relatively soon, it may well be very much too late to have any favorable effect. Hopefully, I won't be around to witness the consequence of whatever action or inaction results from the great debate over this climate change issue. Perhaps you won't either. RE |